Latest results indicate that I received 4,885 votes! Thank you!
Many of you voted for me on the basis of the ballot statements. Others responded favorably to my phone contacts.
Analysis of precinct voting patterns, and absentee results will reveal how my mail message influenced the final vote.
Given that my mail message reached only 30% of the voting households in the district, with phone messages to another 5%, it appears likely that a mailing to ALL households in the district would have resulted in a victory. Additionally, returned mailings are approaching 200. This is a result of having used the pre-primary list. After the primary, these lists were purged of a significant number of voters.
The low voter turnout was discouraging. Blame that on the drawn out Clinton affair.
Note that Betsy received only 30.34% of the registered voters, and only 44.24% of those casting ballots.
If one assumes that the voters supporting Betsy actually checked their ballots for her(very likely given the religious nature of her followers), that leaves 7700+ voters who were not informed, or didn't care, about the MROSD election. It's likely that many of these voters, had they received my mailing or phone contact, would have voted for me. That would add to my total, but would not subtract from Betsy's.
Consider now the votes actually cast for Jack Hickey. These were either votes cast by voters who might otherwise not have bothered, OR, were votes which would have been cast for Betsy(or Berry). In the latter case, had a complete mailing to ALL voters in the district been made, votes for Jack Hickey resulting from that mailing would have decreased the opponents vote count.(one gets you two)
And, what about the 15,700+ who didn't cast a ballot? They can be reached with the right message!
Conclusion: Betsy can be beaten! But first, in the year 2000, we have the following Directors up for re-election:
J. Edmond (Jed) Cyr
Ward 3: Sunnyvale
Term: 2000
Deane Little
Ward 4: Mountain View, Los Altos
Term: 2000
Kenneth C. Nitz (Ray Bell will run for this seat)
Ward 7: Redwood City, San Carlos
Term: 2000
Let's find some candidates and start the campaign!
Preliminary results:
| Vote totals | As % Reg. cast | As % voting | As % cast MROSD | ||||||||||||
| Area | REG | CAST | DCAST | Betsy | Berry | Jack | Betsy | Berry | Jack | Betsy | Berry | Jack | Betsy | Berry | Jack |
| ATH | 4894 | 3545 | 2272 | 1514 | 190 | 568 | 30.94% | 3.88% | 11.61% | 42.71% | 5.36% | 16.02% | 66.64% | 8.36% | 25.00% |
| EPA | 1395 | 644 | 465 | 278 | 75 | 112 | 19.93% | 5.38% | 8.03% | 43.17% | 11.65% | 17.39% | 59.78% | 16.13% | 24.09% |
| MP | 16744 | 11652 | 7661 | 5353 | 926 | 1382 | 31.97% | 5.53% | 8.25% | 45.94% | 7.95% | 11.86% | 69.87% | 12.09% | 18.04% |
| PV | 3200 | 2434 | 1862 | 1483 | 153 | 226 | 46.34% | 4.78% | 7.06% | 60.93% | 6.29% | 9.29% | 79.65% | 8.22% | 12.14% |
| RC | 5811 | 3898 | 2434 | 1402 | 302 | 730 | 24.13% | 5.20% | 12.56% | 35.97% | 7.75% | 18.73% | 57.60% | 12.41% | 29.99% |
| WDSE | 3732 | 2607 | 1743 | 1070 | 265 | 408 | 28.67% | 7.10% | 10.93% | 41.04% | 10.16% | 15.65% | 61.39% | 15.20% | 23.41% |
| UNINC | 15252 | 10075 | 6431 | 4064 | 908 | 1459 | 26.65% | 5.95% | 9.57% | 40.34% | 9.01% | 14.48% | 63.19% | 14.12% | 22.69% |
| Total | 49982 | 34280 | 22868 | 15164 | 2819 | 4885 | 30.34% | 5.64% | 9.77% | 44.24% | 8.22% | 14.25% | 66.31% | 12.33% | 21.36% |
| AbsTot | 11483 | 10700 | 7415 | 4993 | 784 | 1638 | 43.48% | 6.83% | 14.26% | ||||||
| AbsTurnout | 93.18% | 69.30% | |||||||||||||
| Abs%of total | 22.97% | 31.21% | 32.43% | 32.02% | Absentee % of total vote in SMC | ||||||||||
| 1994 | |||||||||||||||
| Cast | 37301 | ||||||||||||||
| MROSD | 23001 | 61.66% | Percent voting who MROSD'd | ||||||||||||
| 17399 | 75.64% | Betsy Crowder | |||||||||||||
| 5602 | 24.36% | Jon Karna | |||||||||||||
| Absentee demographics | |||||||||||||||
| Dem | Rep | Lib | Am.Ind. | indep | |||||||||||
| 11483 | 4894 | 5207 | 48 | 93 | 1056 | ||||||||||
| 42.62% | 45.35% | 0.42% | 0.81% | 9.20% |